Publications · Malawi research stream
Field papers,
downloadable.
Each entry below is a working artifact — roadmap, protocol, memo, or dataset — produced in service of Malawi's Early Warning for All implementation. Tagged, summarized, and packaged for re-use.
2026
18 March 2026
Malawi · Shire Valley · Lake Chilwa Basin
EW4All 2027 — Last-Mile Implementation Roadmap for Malawi→
A 2,500-word commissioned strategic assignment arguing that high forecast accuracy (P) is useless when community actionability (A) is low. Proposes a satellite-to-village-elder cascade across 28 districts to reach E > 0.55 by 2030.
EW4AllMalawiLast-MileImpact-Based ForecastingDELTAPolicy Brief2 downloadable resources
2026
April 2026
Malawi · Mulanje · Phalombe · Chikwawa
Indigenous Wisdom Integration Protocol (IWIP)→
Structured collection, scientific cross-validation, and co-design of TEK indicators into digital DELTA alert pipelines and a five-stage offline cascade engineered for independent stage operation.
IWIPTEKMethodologyCultural IntegrationEarly Warning2 downloadable resources
2026
May 2026
Malawi · Shire Valley (Chikwawa · Nsanje)
G-DRSF Shire Valley Resilience Data Protocol→
Operationalizes exposure × vulnerability × coping capacity into named-asset alerts ('the Msamba bridge will be submerged; Zone B residents evacuate to the primary school solar shelter now').
G-DRSFImpact-Based ForecastingData GovernanceShire ValleyNSO · NDMO2 downloadable resources
2026
June 2026
Malawi · national
DELTA Resilience — Data Sync Architecture for Malawi→
Specifies the minimum-viable data spine connecting NSO, NDMO, NMS, MoH, and district EOCs so that impact-based forecasts can be composed in real time.
DELTAData ArchitectureInteroperabilityMalawi1 downloadable resource
2026
June 2026
Malawi · Ministry of Finance
Anti-Procyclical Disaster Finance for Malawi→
Argues for shifting from reactive humanitarian appeals to pre-authorized parametric triggers tied to rainfall, river-stage, and cyclone track thresholds.
Climate FinanceParametricAnti-ProcyclicalityMalawiPolicy Memo1 downloadable resource
2026
February 2026
United States · Philadelphia, PA
Stakeholder Engagement Blueprint — Philadelphia (SDG 11)→
Five-stakeholder blueprint mapping a Sustainable Cities & Communities initiative across traditional and historically marginalized groups, using the inform → consult → involve → collaborate ladder.
SDG 11Stakeholder EngagementMunicipalPhiladelphia1 downloadable resource
2026
February 2026
United States · Federal (FEMA / DHS)
Community Climate Resilience Accelerator (CCRA) — FEMA Policy Brief→
Two-part deliverable: a feasibility-lens critique of the UN Inter-Agency brief on SDG Localization, plus an original 1,500-word brief proposing a $5B over 5-year Community Climate Resilience Accelerator (CCRA).
FEMASDG 13Climate AdaptationPolicy BriefUSA1 downloadable resource
2026
February 2026
Ukraine · Poland · European host states
The Evolution of Displacement — Ukraine 2026→
Reframes 'safe return' around energy security, legal restitution, and psychosocial stability; challenges the 'burden myth' with the Poland case (2.7% GDP contribution, 83% labor participation).
DisplacementUkrainePolandIntegrationPresentation1 downloadable resource
2026
18 March 2026
Ukraine · Poland · UNDRR / WMO
The Intersection of Conflict and Climate — Sendai 2026→
Argues that Ukraine's degraded grid converts a 'regular' winter into a Sendai Priority-1 multi-hazard cascade, and applies the Resilience Investment Ratio Rᵢ to argue $1 → $4 returns from anticipatory action.
Sendai FrameworkUNDRRUkraineClimate-Conflict Nexus1 downloadable resource
2026
April 2026
Bangladesh · coastal belt
Bangladesh EW4All — Cyclonic Resilience Roadmap→
Applies E = P × C × A to Bangladesh's cyclone corridor, arguing that local-language training and trust-building outperform additional satellite capex on cost-per-life-saved.
EW4AllBangladeshCycloneLast-MileTrust1 downloadable resource
2026
May 2026
Poland · Romania · Ukraine · EU CPM
Poland–Romania–Ukraine (PRU) Transboundary Resilience Protocol→
Introduces I_xb = (D_shared + L_aligned) / H_diff and applies it to a Cascading Freeze scenario; drafts AECS Article 12 for the PRU Mutual Assistance Treaty.
TransboundaryEastern EuropeInteroperabilityEspoorescEU1 downloadable resource
2026
28 April 2026
Global · UNDRR · ISC
Analyzing Global Risks Through Hazard Information Profiles (HIPs)→
Walks the 281-hazard, 8-cluster HIPs taxonomy; profiles MH0703 Storm Surge; traces a cascade into coastal erosion and waterborne disease; and assesses the 2025 machine-actionable release for AI-augmented early warning.
UNDRR-ISCHIPsMulti-HazardMachine-ReadableLiterature Review2 downloadable resources
2026
May 2026
United States · Philadelphia, PA
Designing a Climate-Resilient and Inclusive City — Philadelphia→
Diagnoses car-dependency and uneven heat/flood exposure in Philadelphia; references Barcelona Superblocks, Medellín green corridors, and Paris 15-minute policies; closes with three actionable steps a Mayor can take.
C4015-Minute CityUrban PlanningTODNature-based Solutions1 downloadable resource
2026
20 May 2026
Global · UN-Habitat
World Cities Report 2026 — NGL Response Framework→
Three deliverables — Informality Mapping & Incremental Upgrading; Housing-Emissions Retrofit Strategy; Eviction Prevention & Human Rights Audit — evaluated against a 5-criterion NGL competency framework.
UN-HabitatWCR 2026WUF13InformalityHousing-Emissions1 downloadable resource
2026
6 May 2026
Global · UN OCHA / ReliefWeb · Dataminr
ReliefWeb × Dataminr 'AI for Good' Pilot — Sector Review→
Documents how the pilot addressed the language gap (Arabic / Portuguese / Ukrainian → English) and the data-silo problem (PDF-buried statistics) and translates 'failing forward' into reusable lessons for EW4All-adjacent work.
AI for GoodHumanitarian TechLLMReliefWebCase Study1 downloadable resource